130 FBS programs. One model. ELO ratings built game-by-game from real results — the same walk-forward method we use for the NFL, now covering every Power 4 conference and beyond.
Our ELO model's home-team win probability vs the market. A gap of 5+ points flags an edge. No advice — just where the math and the market part ways.
| matchup | model (home) | market (home) | edge | model lean |
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All 130 FBS programs ranked by ELO — built from every game of the 2025 season, no polls, no vibes. Click any team to see their page. Use search to find a specific program.
| # | team | elo | rating | gp |
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The same walk-forward ELO system we built for the NFL — applied to all 130 FBS programs. Every game updates every team's rating in real time. Home-field advantage is calibrated for college football's notoriously louder crowds. No preseason rankings, no polls, no recency bias. Just math on results.
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