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CFB offseason_2026 // kickoff: aug_29 SEC media_days · nashville · jul_14 Big Ten media_days · los_angeles · jul_23 CFP 12-team bracket · first_round: dec_20 BAMA preseason #3 · Kalen DeBoer yr_2 OSU Ryan Day return · spring #1 consensus transfer portal closes aug_1 · 4k+ entries logged NIL rev-share era · $20m+ deals projected CFB offseason_2026 // kickoff: aug_29 SEC media_days · nashville · jul_14 Big Ten media_days · los_angeles · jul_23 CFP 12-team bracket · first_round: dec_20 BAMA preseason #3 · Kalen DeBoer yr_2 OSU Ryan Day return · spring #1 consensus transfer portal closes aug_1 · 4k+ entries logged NIL rev-share era · $20m+ deals projected
load cfb --model=elo --fbs=true // kickoff: aug_29

college football.

130 FBS programs, one model. ELO ratings built game-by-game from real results — the same walk-forward method we run for the NFL — then priced against the market, so you can see where the line and the real number split.

model
elo_cfb
games_rated
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teams
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updated
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model_vs_market

today's board.

full model

The market's line vs our model's line for every game today, side by side. No advice — just where the math and the market part ways. (Edge flagging is off while we recalibrate the model's line for early-season blowouts.)

// cfb · today_board · model vs market loading…
matchupmarket linelinehype lineedge
loading board…
team_ratings

the index.

full model →

All 130 FBS programs ranked by ELO — built from every game of the 2025 season, no polls, no vibes. Click any team to see their page. Use search to find a specific program.

// linehype_elo · cfb · 2025 loading…
#teameloratinggp
loading ratings…
the_model

how it works.

methodology →

The same walk-forward ELO system we built for the NFL — applied to all 130 FBS programs. Every game updates every team's rating in real time. Home-field advantage is calibrated for college football's notoriously louder crowds. No preseason rankings, no polls, no recency bias. Just math on results.

linehype --daily

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