32 teams. One model. ELO ratings built game-by-game from every result of the 2025-26 season — the same walk-forward method, honest win probabilities, no hindsight.
Our ELO model's home-team win probability vs the market. A gap of 5+ points flags an edge. No advice — just where the math and the market part ways.
| matchup | model (home) | market (home) | edge | model lean |
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All 32 NHL teams ranked by ELO — built from every game of the 2025-26 season. Click any team to see their page.
| # | team | elo | rating | gp |
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