ELO power ratings, win probabilities, and model-vs-market edges. The NBA model tracks every team game-by-game — no hindsight, no invented takes.
538-style ELO ratings built game-by-game from real results, no hindsight. The NBA model spins up in-season — tracking every team from opening night with walk-forward ratings and honest win probabilities.
Auto-generated from real model data — where the numbers split from the market and why. No fake bylines, no invented takes. See our full model history →
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