LIVE
OKC 102 - IND 96 · Q4 6:42 NBA Finals Gm_4 · OKC -3.5 (-110) NYY @ BOS · 7:10 ET · over/under 9.5 LAD ML +145 → +130 NHL Cup_Final wrapped · FLA over EDM 4-2 NFL mandatory_minicamp · 19 of 32 teams active CHI -7.5 vs MIL · public 78% chi sharp action: HOU ML +3.2% OKC 102 - IND 96 · Q4 6:42 NBA Finals Gm_4 · OKC -3.5 (-110) NYY @ BOS · 7:10 ET · over/under 9.5 LAD ML +145 → +130 NHL Cup_Final wrapped · FLA over EDM 4-2 NFL mandatory_minicamp · 19 of 32 teams active CHI -7.5 vs MIL · public 78% chi sharp action: HOU ML +3.2%
load nba --model=elo // phase: offseason

nba.

ELO power ratings, win probabilities, and model-vs-market edges. The NBA model tracks every team game-by-game — no hindsight, no invented takes.

model
elo // in-season
data
espn api
phase
offseason_2026
glossary
nba terms →
final · jun_03
okc
116
ind
107
finals_gm2 · okc -4.5 ✓
final · jun_05
ind
104
okc
110
finals_gm3 · okc +1.5 ✓
live · q4_6:42
okc
102
ind
96
finals_gm4 · okc -5
thu 8:30 et
ind
--
okc
--
finals_gm5 · okc -6.5
the_30

pick your team.

the_model

elo power index.

the model

538-style ELO ratings built game-by-game from real results, no hindsight. The NBA model spins up in-season — tracking every team from opening night with walk-forward ratings and honest win probabilities.

the_signal

the daily read.

all analysis

Auto-generated from real model data — where the numbers split from the market and why. No fake bylines, no invented takes. See our full model history →

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