LIVE

OKC 102 - IND 96 · Q4 6:42 ▲ NBA Finals Gm_4 · OKC -3.5 (-110) NYY @ BOS · 7:10 ET · over/under 9.5 LAD ML +145 → +130 ▲ NHL Cup_Final wrapped · FLA over EDM 4-2 NFL mandatory_minicamp · 19 of 32 teams active CHI -7.5 vs MIL · public 78% chi sharp action: HOU ML ▲ +3.2% OKC 102 - IND 96 · Q4 6:42 ▲ NBA Finals Gm_4 · OKC -3.5 (-110) NYY @ BOS · 7:10 ET · over/under 9.5 LAD ML +145 → +130 ▲ NHL Cup_Final wrapped · FLA over EDM 4-2 NFL mandatory_minicamp · 19 of 32 teams active CHI -7.5 vs MIL · public 78% chi sharp action: HOU ML ▲ +3.2%

load nfl --phase=offseason_2026 // kickoff: sep_10

nfl.

No games until September. The market doesn’t care. Win totals, MVP futures, and the minicamp signals already moving lines.

phase

offseason_2026

model

elo // in-season

kickoff

sep_10

glossary

nfl terms →

win_total · 2026

chi

9.5

over

-130

nfc_north · public 64% over

win_total · 2026

11.5

over

-115

afc_west · 9th straight 11+

win_total · 2026

det

10.5

under

-105

nfc_north · sharp under move

win_total · 2026

7.5

over

-120

afc_east · steam since may

the_32

pick your team.

washington commanders

the_model

elo power index.

the model

538-style ELO ratings built game-by-game from real results, no hindsight. The NFL model spins up in-season — tracking every team from week 1 with walk-forward ratings and honest win probabilities.

explore the model → glossary

the_signal

the daily read.

all analysis

Auto-generated from real model data — where the numbers split from the market and why. No fake bylines, no invented takes. See our full model history →

read the signal →

linehype --daily

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